What Are The Chances Of Getting Pregnant

What Are The Chances Of Getting Pregnant
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Many readers are interested in the following topic: What days can you get pregnant. We are happy to note, that our authors have already studied the modern research about the topic you are interested in. Based on the information provided in the latest medical digests, modern research and surveys, we provide extensive answer. Keep reading to find out more.

Most people ovulate between days 11–21 of their cycle. The first day of their last menstrual period (LMP) is day 1 of the cycle. Ovulation does not always occur on the same day every month and can vary by a day or more on either side of the expected date.

Can You Only Get Pregnant During Ovulation?

Get to know each phase of your menstrual cycle to understand your chances of conception, including whether you can get pregnant before and after ovulation.

Updated on April 26, 2023

Successfully conceiving often means timing sex so that sperm can reach an egg. There are four phases of the menstrual cycle (menstruation, the follicular phase, ovulation, and the luteal phase), and while each one is important for reproduction, your chances of conceiving differ in each one.

The key player for successful conception is ovulation, which happens when a mature egg has been released from an ovary. The egg lives for approximately 24 hours in the reproductive tract. On the other hand, sperm can live for up to five days under the right conditions. This means that most people can conceive for about six days during each menstrual cycle—the five days before ovulation and one day afterwards.

So can you get pregnant if you’re not ovulating? And what are the chances of conceiving during each phase of the menstrual cycle? Keep reading for more about your menstrual cycle, ovulation, and fertility.

Your Chances of Getting Pregnant During Ovulation

Welcome to the prime time for pregnancy! Your “fertile window” spans from the five days before ovulation to one day afterwards. That’s because sperm can survive for five days in the reproductive tract, while the egg survives for 24 hours, and it’s possible for days-old sperm to fertilize a newly released egg. If you’re trying to conceive, it’s ideal to have sex multiple times in the days before, during, and just after ovulation.

Given the wide range of cycle lengths (even for the same person), knowing when you ovulate isn’t as simple as looking at the calendar or counting cycle days. In fact, it can be near impossible to pinpoint exactly when ovulation occurs without an extremely well-timed ultrasound—but thankfully, that level of preciseness isn’t necessary to conceive.

Instead, you can try tracking ovulation with at-home methods. “That’s where ovulation test kits become so helpful,” explains Steven R. Bayer, M.D., a reproductive endocrinologist at Boston IVF fertility clinic in Boston. These kits detect a surge in luteinizing hormone (LH) that happens about 36 hours before you ovulate. After the test kit shows a surge, Dr. Bayer recommends having sex in the next 24 to 36 hours. Since sperm can survive for several days in fertile cervical mucus, they will be ready to meet the egg once it’s released.

Your body temperature also rises about half a degree (detected by a basal body thermometer) with ovulation, but bear in mind that this increase takes place after you’re already ovulating, which could be too late for conception.

Another good indication of fertility is a change in the consistency of your cervical mucus. “You’ll see vaginal discharge that increases in amount and has the consistency of egg whites, signaling it’s the perfect time to have intercourse,” explains Dr. Bayer. You can test your own cervical mucus by sticking your index finger and thumb in your vagina to get a sample, then tapping your finger and thumb together. If the consistency is thin and stretches easily between two fingers, you’re good to go.

How Likely Is Pregnancy During Ovulation?

High, especially if you have sex within 36 hours of detecting an LH surge. A released egg will live anywhere from 12 to 24 hours, but don’t worry: Research shows that found that pregnancy can be achieved through having sex every one to two days leading up to ovulation, so no need to have intercourse every hour or even every day.

Your Chances of Getting Pregnant After Ovulation

Also known as the luteal phase, this portion of your cycle begins after ovulation and ends at the start of your next period. During this phase, progesterone starts to rise. Your cervical mucus will dry up, which makes the vaginal tract less friendly to sperm.

Your chances of conceiving when you’re no longer ovulating are low. Once the egg has been released, there is a short window of 12 to 24 hours during which it can be fertilized. After that, you will no longer be in your fertile window (unless you happen to release a second egg, which is relatively rare but possible).

If you’re looking to avoid pregnancy, this is the phase during which people using fertility awareness methods might have sex freely, but keep in mind that there’s never a guarantee when it comes to avoiding pregnancy if a working ovary and sperm are involved.

Your Chances of Getting Pregnant During Your Period

Menstruation is triggered after the released egg hasn’t been fertilized, somewhere between day 21 and 35 in most people who menstruate. (The first day of your period is considered day one of the cycle.)

During menstruation, the inner membrane of the uterus (known as the endometrium) is shed. By the third day of your cycle, levels of progesterone and estrogen are rising and working to rebuild your endometrium. Around day four, follicle ripening begins to increase as the ovaries start preparing an egg for release.

Most people will ovulate well after their period ends, somewhere around day 14 for the average 28-day cycle—though length and ovulation can vary widely. Because an egg is needed in order for pregnancy to occur and it’s unlikely that an egg will be released around your period, there’s little chance that sperm introduced during your period will result in a pregnancy.

However, it is possible to get pregnant if you have sex near the very end of your period and you ovulate very soon after your period ends. Remember: Sperm can live up to five days, so if your period ends on day seven, for instance, and you go on to ovulate on day 10, it’s possible to get pregnant from sex as early as day five of that cycle. If you’re trying to avoid pregnancy, it’s still best to use contraception or abstain from unprotected penis-in-vagina sex during this same.

Your Chances of Getting Pregnant Right After Your Period

If you’re trying to get pregnant, you’ll want to start having sex after your period ends for optimal chances of conceiving, says Kelly Pagidas, M.D., a fertility specialist formerly with Women & Infants Center for Reproduction and Infertility in Providence, Rhode Island. “I recommend having sex frequently—two to three times a week, but every other day if you can—shortly after you stop menstruating to cover your window of pre-ovulation,” she explains.

Remember, you can get pregnant right after your period, even if you’re not yet ovulating. That’s because sperm can live up to five days if it’s trapped in fertile cervical mucus—so introducing sperm in the days leading up to ovulation can increase your chances of conceiving.

How Long Pregnancy Really Takes

It can take time to get pregnant—even if you get the timing just right. According to the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG), menstruating individuals in their 20s and early 30s have a 20-30% chance of getting pregnant while trying during the average cycle. If you’re in your 40s, that number changes to a 10% chance.

Research indicates that most people aiming to get pregnant will successfully conceive within the first year of trying. However, many different factors are involved in getting pregnant, from age to medical conditions to fertility issues with either partner. If you have concerns, consult a health care provider or fertility specialist, who can talk to you about your individual situation and work on optimizing your chances of getting pregnant.

What days can you get pregnant?

In theory, a person can become pregnant at any time in their cycle, but it is most likely to happen around the time of ovulation. When ovulation happens will vary according to a person’s cycle.

Females are most fertile within a day or two of ovulation, which is when the ovaries release an egg. But, it is possible to get pregnant in the days leading up to ovulation, as sperm can survive for several days inside the female body.

The days during the menstrual cycle when a person is least likely to get pregnant are known as the ‘safe period.’

This article describes how to calculate the fertile window to aid or avoid conception.

A note about sex and gender

Sex and gender exist on spectrums. This article will use the terms “male,” “female,” or both to refer to sex assigned at birth. Click here to learn more.

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The average person’s menstrual cycle is between 28–32 days. Some people have shorter cycles, while others have much longer ones.

The first day of a person’s period is considered the first day of their menstrual cycle. Their period then typically lasts 3–7 days.

Variations in the menstrual cycle usually happen in the follicular phase that occurs before ovulation.

The luteal phase, which occurs from ovulation to the next period, is typically 14 days long.

Ovulation occurs when one of the ovaries releases an egg. After release, the egg moves to the fallopian tube, where it will travel to the uterus, which takes about 24 hours.

Pregnancy occurs if sperm travels to the fallopian tube and fertilizes the egg. If sperm does not fertilize the egg, the egg moves to the uterus and breaks down, ready to leave the body during the next menstrual period.

Calculating ovulation

According to the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists, ovulation occurs around 14 days before a person expects to have their next period if their monthly cycle is 28 days.

Most people ovulate between days 11–21 of their cycle. The first day of their last menstrual period (LMP) is day 1 of the cycle. Ovulation does not always occur on the same day every month and can vary by a day or more on either side of the expected date.

Doctors call the part of the cycle around ovulation the fertile window because the chance of pregnancy is highest at this time. For example, if ovulation occurs on day 14, a person can conceive on that day or within the following 24 hours.

However, their fertile window begins a few days before ovulation because sperm can survive for up to 5 days inside the female body. So, even if a person does not have sex on day 14 or 15, it is still possible to become pregnant if they had sex without using contraception on days 9-13.

According to research from 2018 , the likelihood of conception rises from day 8, reaching its maximum on day 13 and decreasing to zero by day 30.

However, It is essential to note that these findings should only act as a guideline. Every person and every cycle is different.

It can be helpful for a person to chart their monthly cycle and take note of the signs of ovulation to help pinpoint the exact day of ovulation each month.

Signs of ovulation

Tracking the signs of ovulation can help someone determine the precise day they ovulate each month.

  • mild cramping in the lower abdomen
  • wetter, clearer, and more slippery vaginal discharge similar to egg white
  • a small increase in basal body temperature
  • a higher sex drive

Some of these signs, such as basal body temperature, will continue to change after ovulation. For this reason, a person should not use temperature to predict the fertile window.

It may be helpful for someone to track the signs over a few months to get an idea of what is typical for their body.

But they should keep in mind that there are several variables, and the timing of ovulation can change, month-to-month.

Another option is to use an ovulation predictor kit or fertility monitor.

Fertility aids measure the levels of specific hormones in the urine to determine the ovulation day each month. Some devices also identify days of peak fertility.

Using a combination of these methods may provide an individual with the best accuracy.

The following table, based on research from 2015, summarizes a typical menstrual cycle and how fertile a person is likely to be at each stage:

Day of cycle Stage Fertility
1–7 menstruation least fertile stage
8–9 post-menstruation possible to conceive
10–14 days around ovulation most fertile
15–16 post-ovulation possible to conceive
17–28 thickening of uterine lining less fertile — unlikely to conceive

To get a more specific range of highest fertility windows based on the day of ovulation, a person can track the first day of their last period in a pregnancy calculator.